Slot machines don’t involve much strategy. Instead, you’re mainly relying on luck to win. However, slots do feature some small measure of strategy. One of the most important concepts in this regard is hit frequency (a.k.a. win frequency).

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If the RNG chooses a high-paying result, it’s because you are “lucky.” Since all results are possible on any spin, you hope Lady Luck will visit for a winning slot session. But is that all? Is every one of our sessions on a slot machine at the mercy of luck alone? Can we do anything to help luck along—other than simply crossing our fingers? You have heard it time and again: When it comes to whether you win or lose on a slot machine, luck ultimately rules the day. In the way of hit frequencies, frequency of bonus rounds, and how much you should be betting on each spin to yield the maximum overall return. Some follow the nickel model of high hit frequency and low volatility.

If you’re puzzled on hit frequency, then you’ll definitely want to learn more about it. After all, it’s a critical factor in terms of helping you sustain your slots bankroll.

What Is Hit Frequency?

The only problem with hit frequency is that games don’t list this information. The closest I’ve seen is Pragmatic Play online slots, which offer a volatility rating based on lightning bolts. But the average slot machine forces you to figure out hit frequency based on pay table info. Penny slots have the kind of high hit frequency that ropes players in. As fun and exciting as the promise of winning may be, most of the time, the payoff is actually less than the initial wager on a spin. In other words, the bells and whistles go off on a regular basis but for small payoffs. A machine with a high payback and low hit frequency means that it doesn’t hit as often, but it pays out more. A machine with a low payback and high hit frequency pays out small wins, more often. So whether you enjoy waiting longer for the bigger payout or getting little returns and less waiting time, you’ll now be able to find a slot.

Hit frequency refers to how often you can expect to win a prize on each spin. If a certain game offers you a payout on one out of every five spins, then it has a 15% win frequency.

However, this is just a simple explanation of the concept. You also want to factor paylines into the equation.

For example, 15% hit frequency on a 100-line slot is different than it would be on a 50-line slot. The latter only lets you win with the same frequency while only playing half as many lines.

Therefore, you want to consider the number of paylines involved when it comes to hit frequency. After all, you might be paying more to earn the same quantity of wins as with another slot that has fewer lines.

What Do Slots Players Value the Most?

Most slots players don’t think about hit frequency or even know what it means. Instead, they only consider return to player (RTP).

RTP refers to how much money a slot machine pays back on average. For example, a game with 95% RTP will offer $0.95 back for every dollar wagered.

RTP is definitely important, because it determines the house edge for a given game. In the example above, you’re facing a 5% house advantage, which is about average for an online slot.

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Why Is Hit Frequency More Important than RTP?

Win frequency doesn’t have a bearing on the house edge. Meanwhile, RTP more directly relates to your long-term chances of winning.

Therefore, payback seems like the more important concept here. However, you should definitely consider hit frequency if you’re concerned about your short-term chances of winning.

Win frequency relates more to the present. The more times you can win per round, the more money you’ll have coming back to your bankroll in the short run.

Again, hit frequency doesn’t determine the house edge or your long-term odds. Instead, it only covers how often you can expect to win right now.

But you should also realize that payback is based on hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of spins. The chances of you producing results anywhere near the stated RTP for a given session, or even ten sessions, are extremely low.

Hit frequency will be felt much sooner than payback. That said, you definitely want to think about this concept before playing an online slot machine.

Different Ways to Judge Hit Frequency

I’ve established that win frequency is definitely important. The problem, though, is that most slot machines don’t offer a concrete indication on their hit frequency.

Going into the matter blind, you won’t know if you’re playing a game with high or low win frequency until you’re spinning the reels thousands of times. That said, you should definitely consider the following factors to help determine how often you can expect to win.

Jackpot Size

A big jackpot indicates a game that has low hit frequency. The developers have to seed a large jackpot with lots of money, which means they program a game to pay less often to make up for this.

You should pay attention to how much a jackpot is seeded with, not the current value, to determine hit frequency. After all, this is the money the developers need to get back through lowered payout frequency.

See the example below.

You’re playing a game with a $1.5 million progressive jackpot.
You read the “help” screen.
The info section notes that the top prize is seeded at $250k.
$250k is quite high for an initial jackpot.

Generally speaking, a slot with a jackpot seeded at $100,000 or more will offer fewer payouts on average. Of course, you may play these games while dreaming of getting rich. But you can’t expect to earn many short-term winnings with such slots.

Number of Large Payouts vs. Small Payouts

The jackpot isn’t the only payout that has an impact on hit frequency. You also need to consider how the other prizes look in relation to the average game.

Are you dealing with a slot that offers multiple non-jackpot payouts worth between 1,000 coins and 10,000 coins? If so, then the slot machine likely has low win frequency.

On the other hand, a game with a top non-jackpot payout of 1,000 coins or less will probably have a high hit frequency. You may not get rich with this slot, but you can at least expect more payouts.

Number of Bonuses

Bonuses may seem like harmless features that ramp up the entertainment value of a slot machine. But they also play a role in how often a game pays.

For example, a slot with free spins, a pick’em round, second-screen bonus, and scatter payouts could very well have low win frequency. This is especially true if one or more of these bonuses has the potential to award big payouts.

Meanwhile, a slot that only has free spins and a smaller jackpot will probably pay quite often. After all, you don’t have many extra options to hit large prizes in such a game.

Volatility Rating

Under the best circumstances, you’ll be playing a slot that actually provides a volatility rating. This is essentially interchangeable with hit frequency, because it refers to the volatility of payouts.

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A really volatile game will reward bigger prizes, but also pay less frequently. Meanwhile, a game with little volatility has smaller payouts and fewer bonuses, but also awards prizes more often.

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